Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#110
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#115
Pace65.0#235
Improvement+0.4#149

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#59
Improvement+0.1#167

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#180
Improvement+0.3#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 289   Santa Clara W 89-56 91%     1 - 0 +22.0 +3.7 +17.2
  Nov 22, 2011 286   Portland W 83-69 91%     2 - 0 +3.3 +4.9 -1.5
  Nov 26, 2011 46   San Diego St. L 75-76 OT 45%     2 - 1 +4.3 -0.8 +5.3
  Nov 30, 2011 26   UNLV L 88-94 2OT 35%     2 - 2 +2.2 +6.1 -2.9
  Dec 13, 2011 224   @ San Diego W 65-61 65%     3 - 2 +4.1 -3.9 +8.3
  Dec 16, 2011 67   @ Washington L 80-87 27%     3 - 3 +3.6 +7.3 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2011 34   @ California L 50-70 17%     3 - 4 -5.9 -7.2 -2.4
  Dec 22, 2011 45   @ BYU L 75-89 22%     3 - 5 -1.8 -0.6 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2012 172   @ Cal Poly W 58-57 54%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +4.1 -1.2 +5.5
  Jan 05, 2012 163   Cal St. Fullerton W 77-64 75%     5 - 5 2 - 0 +10.0 -0.8 +10.8
  Jan 12, 2012 268   @ UC Riverside L 70-79 OT 75%     5 - 6 2 - 1 -11.8 -0.3 -11.3
  Jan 14, 2012 241   UC Irvine W 74-56 87%     6 - 6 3 - 1 +10.0 -6.4 +15.3
  Jan 19, 2012 305   Cal St. Northridge W 69-61 94%     7 - 6 4 - 1 -5.1 -13.4 +8.2
  Jan 21, 2012 39   Long Beach St. L 48-71 41%     7 - 7 4 - 2 -16.4 -12.0 -9.3
  Jan 26, 2012 322   @ UC Davis W 86-59 88%     8 - 7 5 - 2 +18.1 +10.4 +8.3
  Jan 28, 2012 271   @ Pacific W 56-53 75%     9 - 7 6 - 2 +0.1 -5.4 +6.2
  Feb 02, 2012 305   @ Cal St. Northridge W 85-70 84%     10 - 7 7 - 2 +8.7 +12.6 -2.9
  Feb 04, 2012 163   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 86-99 51%     10 - 8 7 - 3 -9.2 +9.4 -18.3
  Feb 11, 2012 268   UC Riverside W 60-52 89%     11 - 8 8 - 3 -1.6 -9.9 +8.6
  Feb 15, 2012 241   @ UC Irvine W 85-62 70%     12 - 8 9 - 3 +21.8 +12.2 +9.5
  Feb 18, 2012 133   @ Utah St. W 72-64 44%     13 - 8 +13.8 +10.4 +4.5
  Feb 22, 2012 39   @ Long Beach St. L 58-70 19%     13 - 9 9 - 4 +1.4 -10.2 +11.8
  Feb 25, 2012 172   Cal Poly W 68-60 77%     14 - 9 10 - 4 +4.3 +2.2 +3.3
  Mar 01, 2012 271   Pacific W 76-61 90%     15 - 9 11 - 4 +5.3 +9.9 -2.2
  Mar 03, 2012 322   UC Davis W 90-43 96%     16 - 9 12 - 4 +31.3 +14.3 +19.7
  Mar 08, 2012 271   Pacific W 72-52 83%     17 - 9 +13.7 +5.6 +10.9
  Mar 09, 2012 172   Cal Poly W 64-52 67%     18 - 9 +11.7 +10.2 +5.3
  Mar 10, 2012 39   Long Beach St. L 64-77 29%     18 - 10 -3.0 +2.4 -6.8
Projected Record 18.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%